Parametrics can protect the most vulnerable in society
With heatwaves increasing around the world, the most vulnerable communities are the ones most affected by these chronic events, as their small financial buffers mean they are forced to make a choice between income and health. Parametric solutions give policyholders a choice, as coverage may be dependent on the number of predefined heat days.
By Sarah Si
Secondary perils were behind up to 92% of the global Nat CAT burden in 2026, said Swiss Re CUO, P&C Reinsurance Gianfranco Lot.
Speaking on the third day of the SIRC, he also noted that secondary perils such as wildfires, floods and hailstorms were “more difficult to model and predict”.
“But it is clearly an area where we see an increase in underlying risk,” he said.
Are estimates correct?
Citing figures from the Swiss Re Institute, he showed that estimates for insured losses from earthquakes in 2023 were $4bn. But reported insured losses were $6bn.
The difference was even starker for hailstorms in 2023, where estimated insured losses were pegged at $6bn, as compared to reported insured losses of $13bn.
“Initial estimates were all below the final figures,” Mr Lot said.
“So, the questions are, are we underestimating vulnerability or inflation? Or are we underestimating the severity of the hailstorms?”
Heat
He also called heatwaves and heat “very pervasive”, because of their gradual nature. Mr Lot also emphasised the impact on critical infrastructure.
Using France and Switzerland as examples, he noted that the two countries were forced to switch off their power plants “because the cooling systems were not working anymore”.
He also pointed out that the two train crashes in Spain could be attributed to either human error or deformation of infrastructure.
“The average temperature worldwide has increased by 1.4 degrees Celsius. In Switzerland, it is 2.8 degrees Celsius,” he said.
“As you move up from the equator, the difference in the temperature increases is more significant.”
Impact on the vulnerable
In a panel session, titled ‘Leveraging Alternative Risk Transfer to Build Resilience’, Allianz Risk Consulting, Head of Resilience and Business Development, Dr Lena Fuldauer, also pointed out that the most vulnerable communities were the ones that were the most affected by chronic and frequent events.
“In India, many women face the choice of having to protect their income and going to work even in the face of extreme heat of 45 degrees Celsius to 50 degrees Celsius, or protecting their health,” Dr Fuldauer said.
“When they have very little financial buffer, even a small event can create a huge economic impact.”
Industry response
In response, the (re)insurance industry is providing coverage for heat-related stresses, Mr Lot stressed, both in agriculture and property.
For example, (re)insurers collaborate with municipalities to provide parametric cover that pays out based on the number of predefined heat days, which is predefined.
Dr Fuldauer also noted that parametric insurance solutions give women in India the choice of staying at home and reducing the risk of having a heat stroke, or protecting their income.
Other new risks
In his opening remarks, Mr Lot also touched on self-driving cars, noting that the first autonomous vehicles (AVs) hit Singapore’s roads in 2020.
He said, “This is clearly a trend that will continue, but raises questions like ‘How will we insure these types of cars?’, ‘Who is responsible for accidents if they occur?’ and ‘Who is responsible for algorithm failures?’”
Despite these risks, he noted the investment levels in robotics, saying, “We should embrace it as an industry.”
Lastly, Mr Lot touched on space, noting discussions around building data centres in space and the challenges and opportunities these hold for insurers.
In closing, he said, “The conference theme is ‘Capacity to Capability’. We need your capabilities to assess, embrace and understand risk in a way that we can cover it, and in a way that it is a sustainable offering as opposed to a ‘one-shot and one-off’ model.”