Nat CAT concerns remain among general insurers in Hong Kong
The general insurance industry in Hong Kong is forecast to grow by 5.5% in 2024 and 2025. The growth will be supported by major insurance lines such as personal accident and health, liability and property, which together accounted for 75% of the general insurance GWP in 2023. Nat CAT are still considered as a top peril in the country. Fitch Ratings’ Mr Terrence Wong tells us more.
By Reva Ganesan
The Hong Kong general insurance industry is set to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.3% from HK$67bn ($8.6bn) in 2024 to HK$85.6bn in 2028, in terms of gross written premiums (GWP), forecasts GlobalData, a data and analytics company.
According to GlobalData’s insurance database, the general insurance industry in Hong Kong is projected to grow by 5.5% in 2024 and 2025.
The growth will be supported by major insurance lines such as personal accident and health (PA&H), liability, and property, which together accounted for 75% of the general insurance GWP in 2023.
According to Fitch Ratings senior director Terrence Wong, total gross premiums in the non-life sectors in Hong Kong rose by 4% y-o-y in 2023.
PA&H insurance is the leading line of business in the Hong Kong general insurance industry, accounting for a 31.4% share of the general insurance GWP in 2023.
PA&H insurance is expected to grow by 7.2% in 2024, primarily driven by an increase in health awareness and a recovery in the demand for health insurance policies from mainland Chinese customers after the removal of extended travel restrictions in 2022.
“The PA&H business lines saw an increase in premiums, driven by heightened demand for travel insurance and group medical insurance following the lifting of pandemic-related restrictions. In contrast, motor and employee compensation business lines remained unprofitable in 2023, primarily due to intense price competition in the fragmented market,” Mr Wong said.
A rise in medical inflation since the onset of the pandemic will also support PA&H insurance growth.
Medical insurance premiums in Hong Kong witnessed an increase in 2023 due to a rise in critical diseases and, an ageing population that has increased the demand for health insurance. The trend is expected to continue in 2024, which will increase the prices of health insurance policies and support PA&H insurance growth.
Heightened Nat CAT risks
Non-life insurers operating in Hong Kong are exposed to Nat CAT risks, particularly from typhoons and floods.
“Due to the small area of Hong Kong, a sizable typhoon can cause widespread damage to the region. For instance, the severe typhoons Haikui and Saola, which struck Hong Kong in September 2023, triggered numerous claims across the region.
“To mitigate these risks, non-life insurers in Hong Kong, especially small to mid-sized players, actively utilize reinsurance policies, in a combination of quota share, surplus treaties and excess of loss reinsurance treaties,” Mr Wong said.
“To certain extent, pricing competition of non-life insurance sector has been very strong due partially to the fragmental market structure in Hong Kong. Inadequate pricing adequacy could challenge insurers’ operating stability,” he added.
Hong Kong: Nat CAT risk seen as top peril
Nat CAT jumped by five places to become the top risk named by businesses in Hong Kong, according to the Allianz Risk Barometer 2024, the 13th edition to date.
The proportion of businesses that ranked this risk increased to 33% in this year’s report, more than twice that in the 2023 Barometer.
One reason for this could be the catastrophic flooding in the territory in 2023 when typhoon Haikui lashed Hong Kong and was the wettest storm in the territory’s history.